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---------------------------------------------DECISION THEORY & VOTING-------------------------------------------------


Turnout: Why do voters vote?

forthcoming in Congleton, R., Grofman, B., Voigt, S., eds. Oxford Handbook of Public Choice, Oxford University Press, Vol.1, Ch. 15, 2019



Vote Probabilities, Thresholds and Actor Preferences: Decision Capacity and the Council of the European Union

Homo Oeconomicus, 2018, 35(1-2), p. 31-52 (with M.O.Hosli and B.Plechanovová)



The Probability of Majority Inversion in a Two-stage Voting System with Three States

Theory and Decision, 2018, 84(4), p. 525-546 (with A.Zaigraev)



Representation-Compatible Power Indices

Annals of Operations Research, 2018, 264(1), p. 235-265 (with S.Kurz)



The Average Representation -- A Cornucopia of Power Indices?

Homo Oeconomicus, 2015, 32(2), p. 169-182 (with S.Kurz)



Measuring Voting Power in Games with Correlated Votes Using Bahadur’s Parametrisation

Social Choice and Welfare, 2015, 44(2), p. 349-367 (with S.Das)



The Minimum Sum Representation as an Index of Voting Power

European Journal of Operational Research, 2014, 233(3), p. 739-748 (with J.Freixas)



A Note on the Probability of at least K Successes in N Correlated Binary Trials

Operations Research Letters, 2013, 41(1), p. 116-120 (with A.Zaigraev)



Bounds on the Competence of a Homogeneous Jury

Theory and Decision, 2012, 72(1), p. 89-112 (with A.Zaigraev)



Squaring the Circle? Collective and Distributive Effects of United Nations Security Council Reform

Review of International Organizations, 2011, 6(2), p. 163-187 (with M.O.Hosli, R.Moody, B.O’Donovan, A.C.H.Little)



Optimal Jury Design for Homogeneous Juries with Correlated Votes

Theory and Decision, 2011, 71(4), p. 439-459 (with A.Zaigraev)



A Test of the Marginalist Defense of the Rational Voter Hypothesis Using Quantile Regression

Homo Oeconomicus, 2011, 28(1-2), p. 71-89



How Representative is the European Union Parliament?

European Journal of Political Economy, 2011, 27(1), p. 61-74 (with D.C.Mueller)



Aggregation of Correlated Votes and Condorcet's Jury Theorem

Theory and Decision, 2010, 69(3), p. 453-468



Exact Bounds on the Probability of at least K Successes in N Exchangeable Bernoulli Trials as a Function of Correlation Coefficients

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2010, 80(13-14), p. 1079-1084 (with A.Zaigraev)



An Invariance Result for Homogeneous Juries with Correlated Votes

Mathematical Social Sciences, 2009, 57(2), p. 213-222 (corrected)



A Behavioral Power Index

Public Choice, 2009, 141(1), p. 17-29 (with D.Leech)



The Exact Bias of the Banzhaf Measure of Power when Votes are Neither Equiprobable Nor Independent

Social Choice and Welfare, 2008, 31(2), p. 281-300



Straffin Meets Condorcet. What Can a Voting Power Theorist Learn from a Jury Theorist?

Homo Oeconomicus, 2008, 25(2), p. 181-202



Community Size, Heterogeneity and Voter Turnouts

Public Choice, 2006, 129(3), p. 399-415 (with D.C.Mueller)


---------------------------------------------MACROECONOMICS----------------------------------------------------------------



Business Cycles and Conditional Credit-Rating Migration Matrices

Quarterly Journal of Finance, 2018, 8(4), p. 1-19 (with D.Boreiko, Y.Kaniovski, G.Pflug)



Identification of Hidden Markov Chains Governing Dependent Credit-Rating Migrations

forthcoming in Communications in Statistics -- Theory and Methods (with D.Boreiko, Y.Kaniovski, G.Pflug)



Traces of Business Cycles in Credit-Rating Migrations

PLoS ONE, 12(4), 2017 (with D.Boreiko, Y.Kaniovski, G.Pflug)



The Exposure of Technology and Knowledge Intense Sectors to the Business Cycle

Bulletin of Applied Economics, 2015, 2(1), p. 1-19 (with W.Hoelzl and A.Reinstaller)



A Financial Market Stress Indicator for Austria

Empirica, 2014, 41(3), p. 481-504 (with C.Glocker)



The Problem of Optimal Endogenous Growth with Exhaustible Resources Revisited

in Crespo Cuaresma, J., Palokangas, T., A.Tarasyev, eds. Series: Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Vol. 14: Green Growth and Sustainable Development, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2013, p. 3-30 (with S.Aseev and K.Besov)


The Short and Long-run Interdependencies Between the Eurozone and the U.S.A.

Empirica, 2009, 36(2), p. 209-227 (with P.Gaggl, K.Prettner, T.Url)


Employment and Growth in an Aging Society: A Simulation Study for Austria

Empirica, 2006, 33(1), p. 19-33 (with J.Baumgartner, H.Hofer, A.Schuh, T.Url)


---------------------------------------------INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION---------------------------------------------------


Scenarios for Regional Passenger Car Fleets and their CO2 Emissions

Energy Policy, 2012, 41, p. 66-74 (with I.Meyer and J.Scheffran)


The Role of Product Differentiation in the Producer-targeted Promotion of Renewable Energy Technologies

in Crespo Cuaresma, J., Palokangas, T., A.Tarasyev, eds. Series: Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Vol. 12: Dynamic Systems, Economic Growth, and the Environment, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2010, p. 183-195 (with I.Meyer)


Determinants of Firm Survival in the Austrian Accommodation Sector

Tourism Economics, 2008, 14(3), p. 527-543 (with M.Peneder and E.Smeral)


Determinants of Firm Survival: A Duration Analysis Using the Generalized Gamma Distribution

Empirica, 2008, 35(1), p. 41-58 (with M.Peneder)


Product Differentiation and Competitive Selection

Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 2005, 15(5), p. 567-580


What Follows Tertiarisation? Structural Change and the Role of Knowledge Based Services

Service Industries Journal, 2003, 23(2), p. 47-66 (with M.Peneder and B.Dachs)


On the Structural Dimension of Competitive Strategy

Industrial and Corporate Change, 2002, 11(3), p. 557-579 (with M.Peneder)






Priv.-Doz. Dr. Serguei Kaniovski


Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO)

Arsenal, Objekt 20

1030 Vienna

Austria

 

Phone: +431 / 798 26 01 - 231

Fax: +431 / 798 93 86

Email: serguei.kaniovski@wifo.ac.at